Clients, friends, and colleagues:
My sincere apologies for not getting out my November update on time! As a result, this update will encompass October sales data plus a sneak-peak at the new November metrics that just dropped today.
It's been a busy month. Personally with some holiday travels, and professionally with busy buyer activity and some very exciting listings coming soon!
Let's jump right into some market talk. As we know, the main driver for our real estate growth this year in San Francisco can be attributed to the AI startup boom. Workers are prioritizing downtown proximity, rents continue to increase, and our neighborhoods are vibrant and bustling. October 2025's sales hit the highest count since May 2022, and luxury home sales were the best in the last 4 years.
Virtually all the market indicators point to a dramatic increase in buyer demand competing for a declining number of listings. The number of price reductions plummeted 46% on a year-over-year basis, while the pending ratio - a standard measure of market heat - hit its highest monthly reading since the peak of the pandemic boom. 80% of house sales and 44% of condo sales sold for over list price.
Despite the recent stock market volatility within the AI sector (heated competition between Google and Nvidia, fears of an AI bubble among analysts, etc), new November data shows a dramatic 9% year-over-year increase (to $1,800,000) in median sales price for single-family homes in San Francisco. Condominium prices remained about flat, at a median sales price of $1,150,000.
The market typically slows from mid-November to mid-January, though it feels like this year may buck that trend. In any case, listing and sales activity continue in every month of the year - however, mid-winter is usually the period when buyers can negotiate most aggressively on unsold homes listed earlier in the year.
If you have any questions about a specific property or our market, I'm always here and happy to help.
Sincerely,
Ron
Recent review & sales @ the bottom of this email.