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San Francisco Market Update
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Clients, friends, and colleagues:
Data from August (and the summer in general) is never the best barometer for market activity, as it's routinely a slower season (less data) before listings to begin to launch in droves after Labor Day.
3-month rolling figures, year-over-year, show the median sales price is slightly up (+2.6%) for single-families and slightly down (-2.2%) for condos.
Here in the early stages of the fall market, there's a lot to be optimistic about with regards to real estate activity in San Francisco:
1) Interest rates have hit their lowest point since Spring 2023: ~6.2% for 30-yr fixed.
2) With inflation seemingly under control and weakness showing in the US labor market, officials are widely expected to drop their benchmark lending rate by at least a quarter percentage point when they wrap up a two-day gathering this coming Wednesday, September 18th. Per Bloomberg.
3) Despite recent stock market volatility, year-to-date, the Dow remains +10%; Nasdaq +19%; and the S&P +18%.
Next month's market report will have meaningful September data. On the ground we're seeing plenty of new listings on a daily basis as seller's look to take advantage before the winter doldrums.
Prized neighborhoods, well-priced single-family homes, and boutique condos are seeing healthy demand. Opportunities remain in various sectors where motivated sellers can be found. I know of several.
Any quesitons, needs, specific property inquiries, etc, feel free to message me directly.
New review, active listings, and recent sales @ the bottom of this email
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"Ron was the perfect agent for us. Good listener, very knowledgeable, great communicator, and highly efficient. He knows San Francisco, knows the market (I especially appreciated his data-driven approach), had great advice for us that responded to our individual needs, and found us exactly what we were looking for in a competitive market. The home buying process is stressful but Ron makes it as painless as it can be. I 1,000% recommend him."
- T & E / Single-family home buyers in SF
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555 Fulton Street, Unit 427
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1 BD 1 BA 728 SF $749,000
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765 Market Street, Unit 22E
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2 BD 3 BA 1456 SF $1,800,000
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2 BD 2 BA 1160 SF $1,150,000
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420 Mission Bay Boulevard North, Unit 605
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2 BD 2 BA 1140 SF $1,450,000
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177 Townsend Street, Unit 827
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2 BD 2 BA 1019 SF $1,150,000
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2 BD 2 BA 1286 SF $1,718,000
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2 BD 2 BA 1485 SF $1,425,000
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2 BD 1 BA 1200 SF $1,350,000
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712 Bryant Street, Unit 6
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3 BD 3 BA 2097 SF $1,200,000
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4 BD 3 BA 2332 SF $3,000,000
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Statistics are generalities, essentially summaries of widely disparate data generated by dozens, hundreds or thousands of unique, individual sales occurring within different time periods. They are best seen not as precise measurements, but as broad, comparative indicators, with reasonable margins of error. Anomalous fluctuations in statistics are not uncommon, especially in smaller, expensive market segments. Last period data should be considered estimates that may change with late-reported data. Different analytics programs sometimes define statistics - such as "active listings," "days on market," and "months supply of inventory" - differently: what is most meaningful are not specific calculations but the trends they illustrate. Most listing and sales data derives from the local or regional multi-listing service (MLS) of the area specified in the analysis, but not all listings or sales are reported to MLS and these won't be reflected in the data. "Homes" signifies real-property, single-household housing units: houses, condos, co-ops, townhouses, duets and TICs (but not mobile homes), as applicable to each market. City/town names refer specifically to the named cities and towns, or their MLS areas, unless otherwise delineated. Multicounty metro areas will be specified as such. Data from sources deemed reliable, but may contain errors and subject to revision. All numbers to be considered approximate.
Many aspects of value cannot be adequately reflected in median and average statistics: curb appeal, age, condition, amenities, views, lot size, quality of outdoor space, "bonus" rooms, additional parking, quality of location within the neighborhood, and so on. How any of these statistics apply to any particular home is unknown without a specific comparative market analysis.
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Compass is a real estate broker licensed by the State of California operating under multiple entities. License Numbers 01991628, 1527235, 1527365, 1356742, 1443761, 1997075, 1935359, 1961027, 1842987, 1869607, 1866771, 1527205, 1079009, 1272467. All material is intended for informational purposes only and is compiled from sources deemed reliable but is subject to errors, omissions, changes in price, condition, sale, or withdrawal without notice. No statement is made as to the accuracy of any description or measurements (including square footage). This is not intended to solicit property already listed. No financial or legal advice provided. Equal Housing Opportunity. Photos may be virtually staged or digitally enhanced and may not reflect actual property conditions.
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